Political leaders should commit to nonviolent global governance, demilitarization and peaceful resolution of conflicts.
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Russia invades Ukraine. War in Europe and what this could mean for Africa
On March 14, the IPB African working group hosted its first event of 2022, ‘Russia invades Ukraine. War in Europe and what this could mean for Africa’. Featuring three panel members of Joseph Gerson, Reiner Braun and Baroness Dayon Ako-Adounvo, the discussion took a deep dive into where the situation stands and what this will mean for African nations economies, trade relations, and food security situations in the coming weeks and months. Baroness Dayon Ako-Adounvo was able to expertly speak to these scenarios. Her full speech can be viewed below and the full event recording can also be viewed at the bottom of this page.
Contribution of Baroness Dayon Ako-Adounvo.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine’s Donbass region, which transformed into a war on February 24 2022. This has resulted in global economic and security concerns with severe consequences on the African continent. In this regard, there are economic opportunities for some oil-exporting countries in the region, especially in terms of natural gas and raw material exports with the sanctions implemented by the United States and European countries against Russia. On the other hand, countries whose industries and agriculture are heavily dependent on oil exports have the potential to enter an economic bottleneck because of the increase in oil and natural gas prices. The same is true for grain trade. The fact that Russia and Ukraine provide 25% of the world’s grain supply may indirectly lead the African continent, as one of its largest customers, into food insecurity.
Russia and Ukraine have major ties with Africa in:
▪ Energy
▪ Agriculture
▪ Defence & Security
▪ Education
Energy
Experts warned sternly as Russian missiles hit Ukraine that the impact of the war will reverberate across the continent of Africa. Over the past weeks, fuel prices in Ghana and other African countries have drastically increased. As of March 7th 2022, the price of gasoline in Ghana was 8.62 Ghanaian cedis (GHS) per liter, a 25 percent increase since January 3rd. Economists have cautioned that the war in Ukraine could further push oil prices up and increase inflation in Africa. Professor Abdul-Ganiyu Garba of the department of Economics – Ahmadu Bello University in Zaria said “the last time we had a windfall from oil prices related to war was in 1991, during the Gulf War. There is no doubt that this crisis will directly impact the price of crude oil. Africa, like most continents, will need to prepare for higher inflation as the increase in crude oil prices will increase inflation globally and lead to expensive imports. Most African countries have not recovered from the economic impact of the global COVID-19 pandemic, which resulted in the rise of commodity prices due to the disrupted global supply chain. It has been extremely difficult and unbearable for most people living in Africa and in the world at large.
With the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war, the U.S. and European countries imposed various sanctions against Russia, a country that supplies 40% of the European Union’s natural gas. Countries in the Middle East and Africa are emerging as strong alternatives for Europe as it attempts to diversify its natural gas supply and cut its dependency on Russia. At this point, among African countries, Algeria is a suitable alternative in terms of both its geopolitical position and its large reserves. Additionally, countries like Senegal (where 40 trillion cubic feet of Natural Gas was discovered between 2014 – 2017 with production expected to start later this year), Nigeria (an existing supplier Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) to several European countries) and Tanzania seem to be at an advantage with their natural gas capacity. In this sense, Nigeria, Niger and Algeria, which are on the Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline route, cooperated in order to increase their natural gas exports to European markets and signed an agreement on Feb. 16. The deal includes a cost of $13 billion to renew the pipelines. Apart from this line, a total of 50 billion cubic meters (bcm) of Algerian natural gas is transported to Europe via the Maghreb-Europe Gas Pipeline and Trans-Mediterranean Natural Gas Pipeline.
However, the increase in natural gas and oil prices may result in additional cost for oil-importing African countries that depend on oil and natural gas in agricultural and industrial production.
Agriculture
The Russia-Ukraine War may negatively affect Africa in terms of agricultural production and food security, as both countries are important grain exporters to Africa. African countries imported about $4billion agricultural products from Russia, of which wheat accounted for 90% of these imports. Ukraine exported $2.9 billion worth of agricultural products to Africa in 2020, with wheat representing 48% of the products, and corn at 31%. Furthermore, these two countries have a total share of 26% (Russia 18%, Ukraine 8%) in world wheat exports. While Egypt ranks first in wheat imports, countries such as Libya, Sudan, Nigeria, Tanzania, Algeria, Kenya and South Africa also import wheat from Russia and Ukraine to a large extent. Currently, with the Russian intervention in Ukraine, corn prices have increased by 21%, wheat by 35% and soybeans by 20%, respectively. Nonetheless, in the Sahel region and West Africa alone, 26 million people do not have access to enough food. Therefore, the prolongation of the war and the disruption of agricultural trade can cause prices to rise significantly. The increase in bread prices, especially in Kenya and Sudan, has led to anti-government protests. Undoubtedly, this situation brings food security concerns to the forefront for Africa, which has experienced many food crises in the past.
Defense & Security
The Russian mercenary Wagner Group operates in the Central African Republic, Libya, Mozambique and Mali. Apart from this, Russia has strong trade relations with African economies such as South Africa, Egypt, Nigeria and Sudan. In this context, Russia’s military and economic connections have limited member countries of the African Union from acting in unison against the Russia-Ukraine war. The union’s own legislation emphasizes the inviolability of borders and territorial integrity.
Education
Over 16000 African students studying in Ukraine and Russia were stranded as a result of the war. African countries have evacuated some of these students, many of them remain trapped with limited food, water, and no safe shelter. This has been heartbreaking for families.
Conclusion
The Russia-Ukraine war, which broke out after Russia’s one-sided intervention, is geographically far from the region but still closely concerns the African continent. Many different issues such as food security, agricultural production and the inclusion of countries with natural gas reserves into the geopolitical equation due to the sanctions on Russia, are directly related to Africa. In this context, prolonging the war and continuing to sanction Russia will increase the prices of agricultural products and raw materials, which could expose the African continent into a food security crisis.
IPB Statement of Solidarity with Demonstrators in Russia and the People of Ukraine & Russian Petition
The International Peace Bureau stands in solidarity with those who are actively speaking out against the actions of the Russian government in Ukraine and the victims of the aggression. We welcome the peace protests in Moscow and many other cities of Russia.
Continue reading “IPB Statement of Solidarity with Demonstrators in Russia and the People of Ukraine & Russian Petition”IPB Statement on Ukraine, 24 February 2022
The IPB condemns Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine.
The bombardments must be stopped immediately. What is needed is a comprehensive ceasefire, the withdrawal of all troops and a return to the negotiating table.
There is no military solution, only a political solution based on the principles of common security.
Booklet “Toward the 2022 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference”
International Peace & Planet Leader Appeals to Build Our Movements and Impact the NPT Review Conference
Continue reading “Booklet “Toward the 2022 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference””
Common Security Approaches to Resolve the Ukraine and European Crises
We have been bombarded by news reports and announcements from President Biden and Secretary of State Blinken that a Russian invasion of Ukraine is imminent. On January 18, as he prepared to leave for Kyiv, Berlin and Geneva, Secretary of State Blinken, said “We’re now at a stage where Russia could at any point launch an attack in Ukraine.” A day later President Biden announced that he expected Russian President Putin to order an invasion. And both backed their fear inducing warnings with the less than fully accurate claim of NATO unity and the threat that a Russian invasion of Ukraine will be met with “severe, and united response.”.
Continue reading “Common Security Approaches to Resolve the Ukraine and European Crises”
Joint civil society statement to NPT states parties released
On 10 January 2022, a joint statement endorsed by more than 90 civil society groups worldwide was delivered to the states parties of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). The statement built on the one released in 2020, when the NPT’s Tenth Review Conference was first postponed. It was being readied for delivery at the Review Conference, which had been rescheduled for January 2022 and is now postponed again.
To read the statement in full and view a list of endorsing organisations, click here.
A video delivery of the statement can be found here.
IPB Response to the Recent P-5 Statement Released by the White House
We welcome the reiteration of the Reagan-Gorbachev and Biden-Putin statements by the five leading nuclear weapons states that nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought. Some have expressed the belief that this may contribute to serious nuclear disarmament negotiations and agreements among five of the nine nuclear powers. Such initiatives and agreements would be welcome and contribute to international security and human survival.
At the same time, we note that these same leaders are spending billions to upgrade and in some cases expand their genocidal nuclear arsenals. They are recklessly engaged in provocative military operations in which accidents or miscalculations could trigger nuclear holocausts.
We concur with U.N. Secretary General Guterres’ statement that “the only way to eliminate all nuclear risks is to eliminate all nuclear weapons”.. For the sake of humanity’s future, we must do all that we can to eliminate the existential threats posed by nuclear weapons and the climate emergency.
- We join with our partners in the Peace & Planet international network, in which the International Peace Bureau play a leading role which, following the P-5 statement called for: Immediate fulfillment of their Article VI obligations and past agreements to abolish nuclear weapons by the nuclear-armed states participating in the 2021 NPT Review Conference.
- Commencement of negotiations between Russia and the U.S. for deep reductions in their nuclear arsenals, to be joined at the earliest possible date by the other nuclear-armed states to achieve the global elimination of nuclear weapons.
- A halt in the development and deployment of all new nuclear weapons and delivery systems
- Significant reduction in spending for nuclear weapons and related systems, including dual use “missile defenses” and hypersonic weapons, and increased spending to address the climate crisis and other urgent human needs through national and international just conversion plans and ambitions.
- Support, signing and ratification of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons.
- An end to nuclear sharing.
- Pursuit of settlement of conflicts through diplomacy and peaceful means based on the UN Charter and established international law and rules.
- Negotiations to fulfill the promise of the creation of a Middle East Zone Free of Nuclear Weapons and other Weapons of Mass Destruction.
- Common Security diplomacy to reduce military tensions and to create an environment more conducive to nuclear disarmament negotiations.
We recognize that few if any of these steps will be taken without committed action and advocacy by civil society. It is past time to educate, advocate, organize, protest, and survive.
Peace & Planet Message to the 2022 Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty Review Conference and to the International Community
(Image: meeting of the 2015 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) DSG wide. Image by meetings.unoda.org)
(Video: Peace & Planet Online International Conference | January 4, 2022)
Peace & Planet Message to the 2022 Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty Review Conference and to the International Community
In 1955, at the height of the Cold War, the philosopher Bertrand Russell and the physicist Albert Einstein issued an appeal to the world to prevent nuclear holocaust. Most compellingly, their appeal stated:
“There lies before us, if we choose, continual progress in happiness, knowledge, and wisdom. Shall we, instead, choose death because we cannot forget our quarrels? We appeal as human beings to human beings: Remember your humanity and forget the rest. If you can do so, the way lies open to a new Paradise; if you cannot, there lies before you the risk of universal death.”
Today, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists’ Doomsday Clock, set at 100 seconds to midnight, warns that humanity stands at the brink of apocalypse due to the twin existential threats posed by nuclear weapons and climate change. As stated by The Bulletin:
“Accelerating nuclear programs in multiple countries moved the world into less stable and manageable territory last year. Development of hypersonic glide vehicles, ballistic missile defenses, and weapons-delivery systems that can flexibly use conventional or nuclear warheads may raise the probability of miscalculation in times of tension.” Continuing preparations for nuclear war by the nine nuclear powers and the climate emergency are compounded by “the continuing corruption of the information ecosphere on which democracy and public decision-making depend.”
Solutions to these threats are readily apparent: fulfill the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty’s promise of a nuclear weapons-free world; end the use of fossil fuels; and make massive investments in green energy alternatives.
The entry-into-force of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) is a landmark achievement of the international peace movement, anti-nuclear Mayors, Parliamentarians, and governments. The realization of the TPNW demonstrates that the majority of the world’s nations stand in judgement – even outrage – at the failure of the original nuclear-armed states – joined now by additional nuclear powers – to fulfill their Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) Article VI obligation to engage in good faith negotiations for the complete elimination of the nuclear arsenals. Trust has been further shattered by the nuclear weapons states’ failure to fulfill commitments reinforced by agreements made in connection with NPT Review conferences in 1995, 2000 and 2010, including an “unequivocal undertaking” to accomplish the total elimination of their nuclear arsenals.
The NPT’s disarmament obligations were universalized by the International Court of Justice, which in its 1996 Advisory Opinion issued an authoritative interpretation of Article VI, finding unanimously: “There exists an obligation to pursue in good faith and bring to a conclusion negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament in all its aspects under strict and effective international control.
Yet today, the nuclear powers are spending trillions of dollars to upgrade their omnicidal nuclear arsenals and delivery systems. Provocative military actions in the midst of increasing confrontations between the U.S. and NATO versus China and Russia, in Northeast Asia and in South Asia, heighten the danger that an accident, an unintended incident, or a miscalculation could ignite military – potentially nuclear – conflicts
The nuclear powers’ failure to fulfill their NPT obligations, their increasing investment in and reliance on nuclear weapons, ongoing “first use” nuclear warfighting doctrines of countries including the United States and Russia, and development of overwhelming conventional high-tech weaponry, encourage political and economic forces in other nations to seek their own nuclear “deterrent,” further increasing the dangers of nuclear catastrophe.
- The U.S. and Russia are spending trillions of dollars in their 21st century nuclear arms race to maintain and modernize every warhead and delivery system in their arsenals.
- Britain has announced it is increasing the size of its nuclear arsenal by more than 40%, from 180 to 260 warheads, and is reducing transparency about its nuclear arsenal, and it joined the U.S. and Australia in promulgating the nuclear AUKUS alliance in violation of Article VI of the NPT.
- France has launched a project to develop its third generation of nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, designed to hold the world hostage until 2090.
- China is modernizing its nuclear arsenal and developing a nuclear triad for the first time, made up of new land and sea-based missiles and nuclear capable-aircraft. In 2020 China increased its stockpile from an estimated 290 warheads to 320.
- India increased its arsenal from an estimated 130-140 nuclear warheads in 2019 to 150 in 2020 and is threatening Pakistan and China with its nascent nuclear triad.
- Pakistan is developing a nuclear triad of its own. Unlike neighboring India and China, Pakistan does not have a “no first use” doctrine, and reserves the right to use nuclear weapons, particularly low-yield tactical nuclear weapons, to offset India’s advantage in conventional forces.
- Diamona, a secretive Israeli nuclear facility at the center of the nation’s undeclared atomic weapons program is undergoing what appears to be its biggest construction project in decades.
- In January 2021, North Korea pledged to expand its nuclear weapons arsenal and military potential. It declared its intention to advance its nuclear capabilities and strengthen military power. It has kept its promise to suspend nuclear and ICBM tests, but it continues missile launch tests including submarine-launched ballistic missiles.
Even short of nuclear attacks, nuclear weapons devastate human lives as a consequence of radioactive poisoning from their production cycle and the diversion of essential human and financial resources: from stanching the Covid-19 pandemic and addressing other health crises; from the rising waters, devastating storms, and massive fires of the climate emergency; and from hunger, homelessness, and hopelessness.
The vision and possibility of a nuclear weapons-free world have existed since the earliest calls from Hiroshima and Nagasaki A-bomb survivors, the world’s scientists, international civil society, and sobered national leaders and diplomats who understand that nuclear wars can never be won and must not be fought.
We call for:
- Immediate fulfillment of their Article VI obligations and past agreements to abolish nuclear weapons by the nuclear-armed states participating in the 2021 NPT Review Conference.
- Commencement of negotiations between Russia and the U.S. for deep reductions in their nuclear arsenals, to be joined at the earliest possible date by the other nuclear-armed states to achieve the global elimination of nuclear weapons.
- A halt in the development and deployment of all new nuclear weapons and delivery systems
- Significant reduction in spending for nuclear weapons and related systems, including dual use “missile defenses” and hypersonic weapons, and increased spending to address the climate crisis and other urgent human needs through national and international just conversion plans and ambitions.
- Support, signing and ratification of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons.
- An end to nuclear sharing.
- Pursuit of settlement of conflicts through diplomacy and peaceful means based on the UN Charter and established international law and rules.
- Negotiations to fulfill the promise of the creation of a Middle East Zone Free of Nuclear Weapons and other Weapons of Mass Destruction.
- Common Security diplomacy to reduce military tensions and to create an environment more conducive to nuclear disarmament negotiations.
We call on the peace movements of the world for:
- Mobilization of people’s voices and opinions to exert maximum pressure on our governments, especially nuclear weapon states and their allies, to sign and ratify the TPNW.
- Demanding our governments to cut the massive spending on nuclear weapons and military to save people’s lives and living from the current pandemic through national and international just conversion plans and ambitions .
- Increased multi-issue international civil society collaboration to build the political pressure to achieve a nuclear weapons-free world.
- Organizing and joining the January 4, 2022 International Conference to be held as the NPT Review begins to rally and demonstrate the people’s demands and aspirations to achieve the elimination of nuclear weapons.
Peace & Planet Network Participating Organizations: Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament, Campaign for Peace, Disarmament & Common Security, Gensuikin, Gensuikyo, International Peace Bureau, International Physicians for Prevention of Nuclear War, International Trade Union Confederation, Mouvement de la Paix, Peace Action, Peace Action New York State, Peoples Solidarity for Participatory Democracy, Public Council of the South Coast of the Gulf of Finland, Stop the War Coalition Philippines, United for Peace & Justice, Western States Legal Foundation
REPORT ON THE VOLTA REGION DESAG WEBINAR AT OLA GIRLS, HO ON 10TH NOVEMBER, 2021 ON THE TOPIC “THE PROLIFERATION OF SMALL ARMS AND ITS IMPACT ON GHANAIAN YOUTH”
VIRTUAL GATHERING AND PHYSICAL ARRIVAL
The event opened with a dance performance by OLA GIRLS cultural troupe depicting the consequences of gun violence on communities.
Opening statement by Juliet
She touched on a host of reasons why it became imperative for such an event to be held at such an opportune time. Among the many things she highlighted include the ever increasing rate of,
- Spousal killings
- Ritual murders
- Chieftaincy Disputes
- Ethnic and Tribal Clashes
- Armed Robbery and the general State of insecurity in the country etc.
She ended with a clarion call on all and sundry to join in the fight against the illicit arms trade.
Introduction of IPB its work and growth in Africa by Reiner Braun
He described the role of IPB in advocacy efforts against small arms trade and gun violence around the world. IPB’s role in connecting the different national and sectorial African peace movements together as well as with other regional networks from around the globe has grown and is reflected by the collaborative effort that brought about the current event.